I.O.U.S.A - Addison Wiggin [78]
Ron Paul : Some people argue the case that debt doesn ’ t matter because we owe it to ourselves. There ’ s not much truth to that, because you have to look at the reason the debt occurred, and it usually occurred for a bad reason, say, because they were promoting a program they shouldn ’ t have been promoting. Even if you looked at that argument today, we ’ re owing our money overseas, so that contributes to our current account defi cit when we pay interest to those holding securities, say, in China or Japan or Saudi Arabia, and that ’ s a drain on us. That means we don ’ t even literally pay it to ourselves anymore and therefore it just compounds. The more debt we accumulate overseas, the more interest we pay to overseas creditors, which makes our current account defi cit even worse.
Q: Do you see the housing bubble as somehow being tied to the lack of savings today?
Ron Paul : Alan Greenspan and I got into a little debate when I was complaining about no savings rate, and he says, “ Yeah, but housing prices are going up, and therefore people have savings. ”
I told him that he was getting savings confused with infl ation, because as a consequence of infl ation the nominal price of houses was going up, but that really isn ’ t savings because as something like that can go up in price, it can also go down. And that ’ s exactly what has happened. In the old days, when I bought my fi rst house, I went to a savings and loan, and somebody put money in that bank and I borrowed it and I had to pay it back. That ’ s basically the way a market should work: Somebody should put money in the bank and you should borrow it out.
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160 The
Interviews
Today, because we don ’ t have any savings, we depend on the Fed, and the Fed creates too much money, lowers interest rates too much and then they create a bubble. How long has it been that many, many good economists have been predicting that the consequence that we ’ re facing is the collapse of the housing bubble. When the markets fi nally realize how damaging this is and how pervasive it is and how it ’ s going to affect all of our other markets, we ’ re going to have a lot more unwinding to do and it ’ s going to affect our whole economy, because housing is a signifi cant part. I ’ m probably impressed that it hasn ’ t stirred the markets up that much yet but I think in time this is going to be much more of an issue in the economy and on the fi nancial markets than it is today.
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Paul A. Volcker
Paul A. Volcker has had a long and successful career in monetary affairs but is best known as the chairman of the Federal Reserve from 1979
to 1987. Dr. Volcker is lauded for battling infl ation during a time of major economic imbalances in the United States. However, to do so, he had to raise interest rates to an all - time high: 19 percent.
Q: What do you fi nd interesting about economics, and what drew you into the profession?
Paul Volcker: Well, I ’ m not sure it ’ s easy to say what interested me in economics. After I completed university, I debated about what I should do next. I was torn between going to law school, becoming an economist, or becoming a government offi cial. I ended up not becoming a lawyer, but becoming a combination of an economist and a government offi cial. I ’ m not sure I ’ d call myself an economist anymore. It ’ s a long time since I ’ ve been in graduate school.
Q: In the fi lm, we talk a great deal about the dollar and its value.
Since the dollar is the medium by which people save money and right now we ’ re running out of it, our country is faced with a savings defi cit. What is a fi at currency and what is the importance of gold in the monetary system?
Paul Volcker: Throughout my career, I have worked in fi nance, particularly in the Federal Reserve and the Treasury. I ’ ve also been concerned with the management and the stability of