The Devil's Casino_ Friendship, Betrayal - Vicky Ward [85]
When Paulson called later that week to encourage Fuld to consider raising capital, he was
gratified to learn that Lehman was already working on it, and by April 1 the bank had
raised $4 billion in convertible preferred shares. On April 12, at a G7 dinner in
Washington, D.C., Paulson took Fuld aside. "I congratulated him on his capital raise,"
Paulson says. "I encouraged him to do more." Paulson was trying to use positive
reinforcement to get Fuld to be even more cautious and even consider selling the firm,
but that's not what Fuld heard. Later that night, he e-mailed Tom Russo the following
memo:
Just finished the Paulson dinner.
A few takeaways//
1. we have huge brand with treasury
2. loved our capital raise
3. really appreciate u +Rieders work on ideas
4. they want to kill the bad HFnds + heavily regulate the rest
5. they want all the G7 countries to embrace
Mtm stnds
Cap stnds
Lev + liquidty stnds
6-HP has a worried ed view of ML [Merrill Lynch]
All in all worthwhile.
Dick
No doubt emboldened by her home-run earnings call, Callan began appearing more often
on television--particularly on the business channel CNBC--to brag about Lehman's huge
brand and its many successes. There was a personal benefit to this as well: She told
colleagues that a former high school friend, now a fireman, had contacted her after seeing
her on the network, and they were dating.
On April 1, as Fuld dealt with Paulson, Callan was talking to longtime CNBC anchor
Maria Bartiromo about the capital raise. She hedged expectations ("pretty solid results,
[but] not on an absolute basis") and kept with her line about transparency: "We' re happy
to open the kimono and let everyone see the story." It was another articulate, confident
performance.
"As you know, Maria, we' re in a market where perception trumps reality," she said.
That would not be the case for much longer, thanks to the 40-year-old hedge fund
manager David Einhorn.
Einhorn hadn't applauded when he'd heard Callan's earnings announcement. He
increasingly suspected the firm had been resorting to accounting fraud to juice its
earnings, and he said as much in various investor conferences. He even said he believed
that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was letting it slide to avert a bigger
crisis. (Einhorn had been badly burned by the foreclosure crisis as a major shareholder
and director of the subprime mortgage behemoth New Century Financial, which had gone
bankrupt almost overnight in 2007.)
Einhorn figured the only way Lehman could be reporting profits was if it was vastly--and
illegally--overvaluing those assets. And he had some convincing evidence: a $1.1 billion
discrepancy between the results posted in Callan's March earnings call--in which she said
the bank had written down the value of its Level 3 assets to the tune of $875 million--and
those in the quarterly report filed with the SEC a few weeks later, which claimed the
bank's Level 3 assets had actually risen in value.
He asked Callan to call him--via e-mail. And, against the advice of the executive
committee, who felt Einhorn was best ignored, she did. On the call, Einhorn challenged
Callan to explain how the firm had come to write up its assets during a period when
everything, from equities to fixed income to real estate and private equity, had lost value.
He reportedly asked Callan about the rejiggering of the Level 3 assets, and how the firm
could justify its minuscule $200 million write-down on a $6.5 billion pool of
collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), when the value had plainly collapsed in the past
few months.
Einhorn claimed not to have gotten a single straight answer from Callan, but the phone
call gave him plenty of material for his next public anti-Lehman diatribe--at the Ira W.
Sohn Investment Research Conference on May 21st.
Among other things, he said: "Now, given my experience with . . . the SEC, I have no
expectation that Lehman will be sanctioned in any