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The Little Blue Reasoning Book - Brandon Royal [0]

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THE

LITTLE BLUE

REASONING BOOK

50 Powerful Principles

for Clear and Effective

Thinking

Brandon Royal

Published by Maven Publishing

© 2010 by Brandon Royal

All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical — including photocopying, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system — without permission in writing from the author or publisher.

Reviewers, however, may quote brief passages in a review, and individuals wanting to reference material from this book for academic or non-commercial purposes may do so provided the book, with title and author’s name, is cited as a source.

Published by:

Maven Publishing

4520 Manilla Road

Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2G 4B7

www.mavenpublishing.com

Correspondence Address in Asia:

GPO Box 440

Central, Hong Kong

Library and Archives Canada Cataloguing in Publication:

Royal, Brandon

The little blue reasoning book : 50 powerful principles of clear and effective thinking / by Brandon Royal.

ISBN 978-1-897393-62-8 (eBook)

Library of Congress Control Number: 2009909356 (paperback)

In addition to this eBook edition, this book is available in paperback and in the Adobe PDF file format.

Technical Credits:

Cover Design: George Foster, Fairfield, Iowa, USA

Editing: Jonathan K. Cohen, Irvine, California, USA

Illustrations: Ashley Vercekaites, Calgary, Canada

This book’s cover text was set in Minion. The interior text of the paperback edition was set in Scala and Scala Sans.

Contents

Preface

Introduction

Quiz

Chapter 1: Perception & Mindset

Selective Perception

The Magic of Coincidence

The Four Classic Mindsets

Chapter 2: Creative Thinking

Overview

Lateral Thinking

Divergent vs. Convergent Thinking

Mind Maps

Devil’s Advocate Technique

Idea Killers and Idea Growers

Brainstorming

Reframing Problems

Selling Creative Ideas

Chapter 3: Decision Making

Overview

Pros-and-Cons Analysis

Matrixes

Decision-Event Trees

Probability Trees

Weighted Ranking

Utility Analysis

Sunk Costs

Hypothesis Testing

Prisoner’s Dilemma

Chapter 4: Analyzing Arguments

Overview

The ABCs of Argument Structure

Evaluating Arguments

The Five Common Reasoning Flaws

Testing Critical Reasoning

Putting It All Together

Chapter 5: Mastering Logic

Overview

“If … Then” Statements

“No-Some-Most-All” Statements

Mutual Inclusivity and Exclusively

Statements of Logical Equivalency

Testing Logic-based Reasoning

Appendix I – Summary of Reasoning Tips 1 to 50

Appendix II – Fallacious Reasoning

Appendix III – Avoiding Improper Inferences

Appendix IV – Analogies

Appendix V – The Ten Classic Trade-offs

Appendix VI – Critical Reading and Comprehension

Appendix VII – Tips for Taking Reading Tests

Answers and Explanations

Quiz – Answers

Selected Bibliography

About the Author

Preface

Henry Humidor purchased a box of very rare, very expensive cigars and insured them, among other things, against fire. Within a month, having smoked his entire stockpile of cigars, he filed a claim against the insurance company. In his claim, Henry stated the cigars were lost “in a series of small fires.” The insurance company refused to pay, citing the obvious reason: he had consumed the cigars in the normal fashion.

Henry sued and won!

In delivering the ruling, the judge agreed that the claim was frivolous. He stated that the man nevertheless held a policy from the company in which it had warranted that the cigars were insurable and also guaranteed that it would insure against fire, without adequately defining what is considered to be an “unacceptable fire,” and was obligated to pay the claim.

Rather than endure a lengthy and costly appeals process, the insurance company accepted the ruling and paid Henry $15,000 for the rare cigars he lost in the “fires.”

But …

After Henry cashed the check, the insurance company had him arrested on twenty-four counts

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