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to a better ca-pacity for identifying and evaluating warning indicators that deterrence may be failing and, more generally, to facilitate the all-important situation analysis needed for fine-tuning policy.716

Index

Achen, Chris

Aggarwal, Vinod

Aleatory Explanation

Allen, William

Allison, Graham

Almond, Gabriel

Alternative Hypotheses

Analytical Explanations

Archival Materials

As-if Assumptions

Atkinson, R. F.

Babst, Dean

Bayesianism

Before-After Case Study Designs

Belkin, Aaron

Bennett, Andrew

Berman, Larry

Bhaskar, Roy

Bias: see Selection Bias

Boolean Logic; see also Qualitative Comparative Analysis

Brady, Henry

Braumoeller, Bear

Brown, Bernard

Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce

Building-Block Studies

Bynander, Frederik

Caldwell, Dan

Campbell, Don

Case Selection

Typological Theory

Selection Bias

Case Studies

Before-After

and Causal Mechanisms

Comparative Advantages of

Crucial

Defined

Deviant

Disciplined Configurative

Heuristic

Least Likely

Least Similar; see also Most Different Research Design

Limitations of

Most Likely

Most Similar

and Theory Testing

Representativeness of

Selection of: see Case Selection, Selection Bias

and Unit Homogeneity

Caldwell, Dan

Causal Depth

Causal Effects

Causal Interaction

Causal Mechanisms

Defined

and Process Tracing

Causal Priority

Causality

Cell Reduction

Cognitive Biases on Causal Inference

Coleman, James

Collier, David

Collier, Ruth Berins

Comparative Methods

see also Controlled Comparison

see also Case Studies: Most-Similar, Least-Similar

Comparison, Structured Focused

Competing Explanations; see Alternative Hypotheses

Complexity

Concatenated Theories

Conceptualization

Conceptual Stretching

Conditional Generalizations: see Contingent Generalizations

Congruence Method

Congruity

Conjunctural Causation

Constant Causal Effect Assumption

Construct Validity: see Validity

Content Analysis

Contingent Generalizations

Controlled Comparison

Correlational Studies: see Statistical Methods

Counterfactual Analysis

Covering Laws

Crucial Cases

Deductive Inferences

Deductive-Nomological Model

Degrees-of-Freedom (Problem of)

Democratic Peace Theory

and Case Study Methods

and Formal Modeling

and Statistical Methods

Dependent Variables

Selecting on

Variation in

Dessler, David

Deviant Cases

Discourse Analysis

Doubly-Decisive Tests

Dray, William

Drezner, Daniel

Durkheim, Emile

Eckstein, David

Elman, Colin

Elman, Miriam Fendius

Elster, Jon

Ember, Carol

Ember, Melvin

Endogeneity

Enigmatic Causality

Equifinality

Evans, Peter

Explanation

Explanatory Overdetermination

External Validity

False Negative

False Positive

Fearon, James

Fenno, Richard

Fiorina, Morris

Flanagan, Scott

Formal Models

Friedman, Milton

Gaddis, John Lewis

Galton’s Problem

Geddes, Barbara

George, Alexander.

Generalization ; see also Contingent

Generalizations

Generic Knowledge

Goldstone, Jack

Gourevitch, Peter

Greenstein, Fred

Hall, Peter

Heclo, Hugh

Hedstrom, Peter

Hempel, Carl

Historical Explanation

Hoeft, William

Homer-Dixon, Thomas

Hoop Tests

Hume, David

Humphreys, Paul

Huth, Paul

Hypotheses

Generating New Hypotheses; see also Deviant Cases, Inductive Inquiry

Ideal Types

Indeterminacy

Indirect Method of Difference

Inductive Inquiry (and Generating New Hypotheses)

Inductive Statistical Model

Interaction Effects

Intervening Variables: see Variables, Intervening

Interviews

Jacobsen, Harold

Jentleson, Bruce

Kahneman, Daniel

Keohane, Robert

Khong, Yuen Foong

King, Gary

Kingdon, John

Knopf, Jeffrey

Krepon, Michael

Kuhn, Thomas

Laitin, David

Lakatos, Imre

Larson, Deborah

Lazarsfeld, Paul

Least-Likely Case

Lebow, Richard Ned

Lepgold,