The Rational Optimist_ How Prosperity Evolves - Matt Ridley [183]
p. 149 ‘again the acreage under the plough will have to balloon’. Or, to put the point in academic-ese: ‘The additional harvest of 4–7 Pg C/yr needed to achieve this level of bioenergy use would almost double the present biomass harvest and generate substantial additional pressure on ecosystems.’ Haberl, H. et al. 2007. Quantifying and mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in earth’s terrestrial ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104:12942–7.
p. 149 ‘each needs little more than a thousand square metres, a tenth of a hectare’. Smil, V. 2000. Feeding the World. MIT Press.
p. 150 ‘Organic farming is low-yield, whether you like it or not’. Avery, A. 2006. The Truth about Organic Foods. Henderson Communications. See also Goulding, K.W.T. and Trewavas, A.J. 2009. Can organic feed the world? AgBioview Special Paper 23 June 2009. http://www.agbioworld.org/newsletter_wm/index.php?caseid=archive&newsid=2894.
p. 150 ‘With such help a particular organic plot can match non-organic yields, but only by using extra land elsewhere to grow the legumes and feed the cattle’. A recent study claimed that organic yields can be higher than those of conventional farming (http://www.ns.umich.edu/htdocs/releases/story.php?id=5936), but only by an extremely selective and biased misuse of the statistics (see http://www.cgfi.org/2007/09/06/organic-abundance-report-fatally-flawed/).
p. 150 ‘a pound of organic lettuce, grown without synthetic fertilisers or pesticides in California, and containing eighty calories, requires 4,600 fossil-fuel calories to get it to a customer’s plate’. Pollan, M. 2006 The Omnivore’s Dilemma: the Search for the Perfect Meal in a Fast Food World. Bloomsbury.
p. 150 ‘when a technology came along that promised to make organic farming both competitive and efficient, the organic movement promptly rejected it’. Ronald, P. and Adamchak, R.W. 2008. Tomorrow’s Table: Organic Farming, Genetics and the Future of Food. Oxford University Press.
p. 152 ‘a near-doubling of yield and a halving of insecticide use’. ISAAA 2009. The Dawn of a New Era: Biotech Crops in India. ISAAA Brief 39, 2009: http://www.isaaa.org/resources/publications/downloads/The-Dawn-of-a-New-Era.pdf.