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The Rational Optimist_ How Prosperity Evolves - Matt Ridley [200]

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166’. See http://www.cjd.ed.ac.uk/figures.htm

p. 308 ‘no extra birth defects at all’. Little, J. 1993. The Chernobyl accident, congenital anomalies and other reproductive outcomes. Paediatric Perinatal Epidemiology 7:121–51. The World Health Organisation concluded in 2006 that: ‘A modest but steady increase in reported congenital malformations in both contaminated and uncontaminated areas of Belarus appears related to better reporting, not radiation.’ See http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/Focus/Chernobyl/pdfs/pr.pdf.

p. 308 ‘The evacuation of the area has caused wildlife to flourish there to an extraordinary degree’. Brand, S. 2009. Whole Earth Discipline. Penguin.

p. 309 ‘As one commentator concluded’. Fumento, M. 2006. The Chicken Littles were wrong: bird flu threat flew the coop. The Standard, 25 December 2006.

pp. 309–10 ‘you are far more likely to get the flu from a person who is well enough to go to work than one who is ill enough to stay at home’. Wendy Orent. Swine flu poses a risk, but no reason to panic. Los Angeles Times, 29 April 2009. http://articles.latimes.com/2009/apr/29/opinion/oe-orent29.

p. 311 ‘in the words of President Obama’s science adviser John Holdren’. Holdren, J., Ehrlich, A. and Ehrlich, P. 1973. Human Ecology: Problems and Solutions. W.H. Freeman and Company, p. 279.

p. 311 ‘in the words of Maurice Strong, first executive director of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)’. http://www.spiked-online.com/index.php/site/article/7314.

p. 311 ‘in the words of the journalist George Monbiot’. The Guardian, 18 August 2009.

p. 311 ‘When they speak of retreat’. See http://www.climate-resistance.org/2009/08/folie-a-deux.html.

Chapter 10

p. 313 ‘It is possible to believe that all the past is but the beginning of a beginning’. Wells, H.G. ‘The Discovery of the Future’ Lecture at the Royal Institution, 24 January 1902, published in Nature 65:326–31. Reproduced with the permission of AP Watt Ltd on behalf of the Literary Executors of the Estate of H.G. Wells.

p. 313 Greenland ice cap temperature graph. NCDC. See ncdc.noaa.gov.

p. 314 ‘says the environmentalist Jonathan Porritt’. Ecologist Online April 2007. See www.optimumpopulation.org/ecologist.j.porritt.April07.doc.

p. 315 ‘Paul Collier’s phrase’. Collier, P. 2007. The Bottom Billion. Oxford University Press.

p. 316 ‘life expectancy is rising rapidly’. As of this writing, life expectancy is still falling in South Africa, Mozambique, and of course Zimbabwe.

pp. 316–7 ‘Paul Collier and his colleagues at the World Bank encountered a storm of protest’. Collier, P. 2007. The Bottom Billion. Oxford University Press.

p. 317 ‘would by now have given Zambians the income per head of the Portuguese’. Moyo, D. 2009. Dead Aid. Allen Lane.

p. 317 ‘these conclusions were later dashed by Raghuram Rajan and Arvind Subramanian of the International Monetary Fund’. Rajan, R.G. and Subramanian, A. 2005. Aid and Growth: What Does the Cross-Country Evidence Really Show? NBER Working Papers 11513, National Bureau of Economic Research.

p. 318 ‘the recommendations of the Zambian economist Dambisa Moyo’. Moyo, D. 2009. Dead Aid. Allen Lane.

p. 318 ‘As William Easterly puts it’. Easterly, W. 2006. The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good. Oxford University Press.

p. 318 ‘the example of insecticide-treated mosquito bed nets’. Easterly, W. 2006. The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good. Oxford University Press.

p. 321 ‘consistently the most successful economy in the world in recent decades’. Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S.H. and Robinson, J.A. 2001. An African Success Story: Botswana. MIT Department of Economics Working Paper no. 01-37.

p. 323 ‘developers leave the poor to build their own slums’. Boudreaux, K. 2008. Urbanisation and informality in Africa’s housing markets. Economic Affairs, June 2008: 17–24.

p. 323 ‘a Cairo house owner will build up to three illegal storeys on top of his house

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